Latest Black Country General Election opinion polls forecast several seats changing hands

A total of 13 constituencies make up the Black Country and south to mid Staffordshire, which are split between the Conservatives and Labour.

But with opinion polls predicting a Labour landslide nationally, what are they currently forecasting for Shropshire?

It's worth noting that opinion polls don't always give an accurate representation - many of us will remember how wrong they got it back in 2015.

All opinion polls will differ somewhat because data is gathered by interviewing different people.

We've used data from pollingreport.uk, a website that compiles multiple projections from different polling organisations.

Nationally, polls are showing Labour to take 393 seats at the General Election, with the Conservatives taking 192, Lib Dems 28, SNP 17, Green 1 and 19 'other'. But what about closer to home? We look at the candidates who pollingreport.uk give more than one per cent of the vote to.

Aldridge-Brownhills

Former Tory chief whip Wendy Morton is hoping to retain her seat, and the polls currently have her on 46.96 per cent of the vote. This compares to 35.63 per cent for Labour's Luke Davies.

Graham Eardley of Reform UK is on 9.46 per cent, while the Green Party's Joe Belcher is on 4.38 per cent and Ian Garrett of the Lib Dems is on 3.56 per cent.

Cannock Chase

Amanda Milling, MP since 2015, is forecast to retain her seat. The Conservative polls at 51.54 per cent, with Labour's Josh Newbury on 39.3 per cent.

Andrea Muckley of the Green Party is forecast to get 9.16 per cent of the vote.

Dudley

A rejigged seat which loses the 'North' part of its name, Tory Marco Longhi is hoping for a return to parliament.

At present the polls have him with 47.93 per cent of the vote and Labour candidate Sonia Kumar on 45.6 per cent.

The Green Party candidate is on 4.95 per cent and Lib Dems on 1.53 per cent, according to pollingreport.uk.

Halesowen

Pollsters have called this seat, officially a new one as it's been split from Rowley Regis, too close to call, with only two per cent between the top two parties.

Labour's Alex Ballinger is on 47.15 per cent, while Tory James Morris, who has been Halesowen and Rowley Regis MP since 2010, on 45.01 per cent.

The Green Party stands at 5.19 per cent and Liberal Demcorat candidate Ryan Priest is on 2.64 per cent.

Kingswinford and South Staffordshire

A new constituency due to boundary changes, it's one the Conservatives are forecast to win with candidate Mike Wood at 55.09 per cent.

Labour's Sally Benton is second on 35.08 per cent with the Green Party on 6.12 per cent and Liberal Democrat candidate Gully Bansal polling at 3.71 per cent.

Smethwick

There hasn't been a Smethwick constituency since it was abolished in 1974, but the name is back for 2024.

At present, Labour's Gurinder Singh Josan is expected to win with 67.36 per cent of the vote, with Reform UK second on 14.5 per cent, the Conservatives on 11.2 per cent, Green Party on 4.81 per cent and Liberal Democrats at 2.13 per cent.

Lichfield

Tory Michael Fabricant has been Lichfield's MP since 1997, and he's hoping to continue that run this year.

Polls currently have him at 44.69 per cent, ahead of Labour's Dave Robertson on 32.6 per cent.

Reform UK are said to be polling on 9.02 per cent, with the Liberal Democrats on 8.03 per cent and Green Party on 5.66 per cent.

Stafford

Theo Clarke's attempts to remain MP are on a knife edge.

The combined polls have the Tory incumbent on 43.95 per cent of the vote, with Labour's Leigh Ingham on 43.49 per cent.

Further back, the Green Party are down as having 7.44 per cent and Lib Dems on 5.11 per cent, with the poll not displaying a result for Reform UK's Michael Riley, who is standing in the constituency.

Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge

Sir Gavin Williamson, the Tory MP for South Staffordshire since 2010, is moving to stand in this newly created constituency.

Currently, polls predict he will achieve 50.8 per cent of the vote, with Labour's Jacqueline Brown second on 36.88 per cent.

Third at present is the Green Party candidate, Danni Braine, on 7.09 per cent, with Liberal Democrates fourth on 5.23 per cent.

Stourbridge

It could be a close-run thing in Stourbridge where Tory incumbent Suzanne Webb is only 3.4 percentage points ahead of her Labour rival.

The Conservatives poll at 47.42 per cent, with Labour's Cat Eccles not far behind on 44.02 per cent.

With both parties so close, it's a long way back to third where the Green Party is on 5.26 per cent, with the Liberal Democrate candidate Chris Bramall on 3.29 per cent.

Tipton and Wednesbury

It's predicted Labour will win this new constituency, with Antonia Bance on 51.54 per cent.

Shaun Bailey, Tory MP for West Bromwich West since 2019, is second on 29.38 per cent, while Jack Sabharwal from Reform UK is on 13.81 per cent.

The Green Party polls at 4.31 per cent, and the Lib Dems on 0.95 per cent.

Walsall and Bloxwich

The newly formed Walsall and Bloxwich seat is expected to be a Labour victory. Currently, the party's candidate is forecast to attract 50.39 per cent of the vote with the Conservatives second on 33.3 per cent.

Reform UK's Elaine Williams is third with 10.73 per cent, ahead of Sadat Hussein of the Green Party, who is predicted to win 4.08 per cent of the vote.

The Lib Dems are on 1.49 per cent.

West Bromwich

Another constituency name returning in 2024 is West Bromwich, last contested in a 1973 by-election.

At present Labour's Sarah Coombs is leading with 51.17 per cent, from Conservative candidate Will Goodhand who is tipped to get 30.38 per cent of the vote.

Reform UK's Ray Nock is third on 12.7 per cent, with the Green Party at 4.35 per cent and Liberal Democrats at 1.4 per cent.

Wolverhampton North East

Labour's Sureena Brackenridge is forecast to win the seat which the Tories won last time out for the first time since 1992.

The Labour candidate is predicted to win 48.35 per cent of the vote, with Conservative incumbent Jane Stevenson on 34.69 per cent.

Paul Williams, of Reform UK, is third on 11.81 per cent, with the Green Party and Liberal Democrats forecast to poll at 4.2 and 0.95 per cent respectively.

Wolverhampton South East

A Labour seat since its inception in 1974, Wolverhampton South East is expected to remain red after next month's vote.

Polls put incumbent Pat McFadden on 55.1 per cent, more than double the Conservative candidate Victoria Wilson on 26.19 per cent.

Reform UK is again third, on 13.45 per cent, with the Green Party and Liberal Democrats on 4.04 and 1.21 per cent respectively.

Wolverhampton West

A constituency name that's coming back after an absence of 74 years, Wolverhampton West is forecast to go red next month.

Pollsters have Labour's Warinder Juss at 54.16 per cent with nearly double the votes Conservative candidate Mike Newton is expected to achieve (28.77 per cent).

Donald Brookes is third for Reform UK at 11.78 per cent.

The Green Party and Liberal Democrats are close together, polling at 2.89 and 2.4 per cent respectively.

Details correct as of Saturday afternoon.