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Our probabilistic weather forecasting

When a weather forecaster on the radio described his science as probabilistic, he was using a word which actually exists but is rarely used, writes Peter Rhodes.

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When a weather forecaster on the radio described his science as probabilistic, he was using a word which actually exists but is rarely used, writes Peter Rhodes.

It is a term which goes to the heart of the whole weather guesstimating game.

As Wikipedia explains: "The difficulty with probabilistic logics is that they tend to multiply the computational complexities of their probabilistic and logical components."

Quite so.

This explains why "mild with occasional showers" has just swept your caravan into the river.

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