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Birch’s Blog: Champions elect?
Tuesday 23rd December 2008, 8:59AM GMT.
Online Sports Journalist Craig Birch was the only one to tip Wolves as champions when the famed Express & Star predictions page was published in the summer – now he explains why.
The summer predictions page at the Express & Star is always keenly contested between the sports team. It is great to see how it all pans out.
Even the most knowledgeable of us can’t get every one right, but you can look like the second coming of Mystic Meg in some cases.
In others, if you had any more egg on your face, you’d be served on granary bread in our equally famed canteen.
Now I am by no means regarded as the footballing oracle when it comes to betting. My traditionial Saturday accumulators go up in smoke week after week, one particularly bad day this season ending with a team backed to win losing 7-0!
In a previous predictions page, the howls of laughter are probably still heard around the hallowed halls of our Queen Street offices, with my stubborn declaration that Greece would retain their crown at Euro 2008.
But it was yours truly who gave the sole backing to Mick McCarthy’s men to be crowned Champions, thus returning to the Premier League.
Although at the same time, as some are only too keen to point out, I didn’t even tip Reading for a play-off place.
Now Christmas is nearly upon us, suddenly my tip is looking pretty sound. But even I am exercising caution. Nothing has been won yet. I may not be peering into crystal balls with the editorial staff in attendance after all.
But what made me pick Wolves, based on the evidence of the summer and before?
Well, in my mind, always back a team on the up, rather than a team on the slip. The likes of Reading and Birmingham, whoever they retained, needed time to re-adapt to the Championship.
At the time, I also thought both Blues and Reading would lose a lot more players than they actally did.
There is also the added factor that, no matter who comes or goes, there is still a sense of doom and gloom about the place after relegation. The losing mentality can take some time to shake off. Need evidence? Ask Derby County.
While the big boys licked their wounds and tried to get a second wind, there was a time for one of the nearly men from last season to step in and bring the battle to them.
In came Wolves, looking like they had learned something from the failures of 2007/08. That season, they were seventh after the traditional first checkpoint of 10 games, having already lost three games.
With a fresh face or two in the summer and a fully fit squad, the team came flying out of the traps as this season began, their defeat at Swansea in league game 10 only their second loss in the league.
Lets look at some omens. Wolves seventh after 10 games last term, Wolves second at the same point this term. Wolves seventh at Christmas last term, Wolves top at Christmas this term.
Wolves finished seventh last term. Wolves finish? Well, first or second, if you would have asked anybody at Molineux in the summer whether that would do, chance are it would be a resounding yes.
So what has changed?
The strange thing is that there has not been wholesale changes from last season. Lets take a closer look.
In goal, Carl Ikeme’s emergence has put real pressure on the previously untouchable Wayne Hennessey and, with Matt Murray’s future increasingly in doubt, it needed to.
In defence marks the big noted difference. Mick had to act at left-back in particular, when George Elokobi was ruled for the season early on.
Matt Hill and George Friend both came in and neither has exactly set the world alight, for a multitude of reasons. When it came to the crunch, Stephen Ward stepped up and made the role his own.
Kevin Foley in the other full-back spot is fast becoming ‘Mr Dependable,’ but it is in the centre of defence that it took Mick time to find a solution.
Summer singing Richard Stearman – when he arrived on time – has been a fixture but no less than three players partnered him, before the current first-choice partner of Michael Mancienne was brought in.
Neill Collins, Jody Craddock and a £1million deadline day capture in Jason Shackell have all tried their luck, before a dip into the loan market saw the capture of Mancienne from Chelsea.
It is no coincidence that since Mick settled on these two, Wolves are started winning games again.
In midfield, Seyi Olofinjana was the big departure in the summer. Yet this has allowed skipper Karl Henry to adapt to that holding role which, to be fair, always suited him more anyway.
David Jones was brought in from Derby to add to a bit of creativity and has been a regular, not to discount the efforts of another playmaker in David Edwards, who has made a significant contribution when needed.
On the wings, Matt Jarvis and Michael Kightly should have been on charges of attempted murder for the way they set about dismantling opposition full-backs early in the campaign.
Then not one but both went down injured – another parallel from last season – forcing Mick to bring in Carlos Edwards on loan from Sunderland.
He has now returned to his club, with Jarvis and Kightly fit again. The manager still wants another winger, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see another certain someone from Chelsea brought in on loan next month. Step forward Scott Sinclair.
In attack, few could have predicted the impact that Chris Iwelumo has had. Brought in from Charlton seemingly as a squad player, he has made a spot his own alongside Sylvan Ebanks-Blake, everyone’s shoe in to lead the attack.
His emergence has come at the expense of Andy Keogh – who is clearly a player that needs to be loved – and Sam Vokes, who at barely 19 years old can afford to bid his time.
The future is bright at Wolverhampton Wanderers, there is no question about it. A lot of the ‘dead wood’ has been moved out or is to be moved out, replaced by young, hungry and ambitious players.
There’s a lesson in there somewhere.
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Reading was our 1st defeat… Not Swansea…
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Don’t forget also elokobi, crddock, gobern, davies, murray, jarvis not to mention others have been out injured. everyone including the fans have been different class.
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1 – read the sentance properly. He said our 10th game was Swansea which we lost!
Good post
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Sy king… can you read??
Seriously, we aint won anything yet so let’s not count any chickens. We’ve got a LOT of tough away days to come in the 2nd half of the season, not least Reading & Blues.
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All we can say at this point is so far, so good..
Being 7 points clear half way through a season is like being 1 goal up at half time in a game. Anything can happen in the second half!
At the start of last season I wanted us to be challenging for a top 2 spot and we fell well short. This season we have moved up to that level, and kicked on even further by getting ourselves clear at the top. However, we haven’t really had a bad spell yet, most teams do at some point and with our fixtures over Xmas and January ours might be just about to happen.
But let’s stay positive, hope for the best but prepare for the worst – being sucked into a dogfight for one of the top 2 spots. If that happens we all need to keep our nerve, take no notice of the likes of Torbay man and stick by the players we’ve got who have got us this far.
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I’ll be at both away games and a point at both will be fine. Reading are far better then blues but they will drop points and stven hunt who is their most influential player wants to go to everton in jan. I keep hearing we are getting beckford from leeds and the sinclair one is common knowledge. Very hard second half but we are good enough.
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Top at christmas, the jan and feb willl be the testing time, cold, harsh grounds, willl test the nippy wingers in our side. Lets hope to aim for 10 points per month, and that will see us up.. But Blades on Boxing day, lets get a win, and hopefully MM will start with his strongest team i.e jarvis and kites on the wings and big chris up front to ruff up morgan!
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good post that… i ve always gone to brum on the train , does anyone know to any car parking near the ground ?
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Good blog Craig, good synopsis of the season so far. There is still a long way to go and I will not mention the ‘P’ word yet, but, It is looking pretty damn good at the moment. Like Superstar says above, Jan and Feb will be the real testing time.
Merry Christmas to all us Wulfies and here’s to a hat-full of points over the festive period.
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Pre – mature – Far too early to make such bold comments – Achieve promotion beyond a doubt first – then worry about winning the league
How many of us would have settled for automatic promotion before the season started???
With a few more additions – ala winger etc we should be looking forward to the next half of the season – FA Cup run vs automatic places – No choice whatsoever!
13 More Wins should do it!
Merry Christmas One & All
UP THE WOLVES!
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lets just keep racking up points…
Reading are on fire and we stil need to play them and Brum away.
Its a great place to be in – but Im not celebrating just yet.
Lets get a win on 26th and hope the Rampant Royals have a hiccup.
MERRY CHRISTMAS ALL
COME ON YOU WOLVES !!!
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PROMOTED AS CHAMPIONS WITH GAMES TO SPARE!
NO PROBLEM..DEAD CERT..DONE AND DUSTED!
WHO CARES WHO FINISHES SECOND..WE ARE WOLVES..PREMIER BOUND..SUPA MICK WILL TAKE US HOME.
MERRY XMAS TO ALL MY FELLOWS SUPORTERS..SEE YA BOXING DAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Merry xmas to all Wolves fans.
Promotion is yours and you deserve it!!
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i was in the bokies before the start of the season placing my weelkly bet when i saw wolves to win the league at 14/1 and i thought thas a great price ill put that on but then i said na and laghed it off.. o what a fool lol . but remember this is the only league we havent won?
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reading wont have the legs and nor wil birmingham 24 points clear by march title presented at qpr home just in time for my bday. i would luv it .
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i bone i hAVE TO PICK IM SORRY I HAVE TO KEOGH HAS STARTED 10 HAMES AND SUBBED ON 14 AND SCORED 2 GOALS . WERE AS VOKES HAS STARTED JUSR 1 AND SUBBED ON 13 TIMES AND SCORED 3 GOALS . I MEAN THATS JUST SIMPLE MATH SURELY?
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A home match on Boxing Day is historically a disaster for us.
Biggest crowd of the season, play carp and get stuffed, like the turkey.
No change this season, then.
Why is everyone discounting Burnley ? They and Reading look to be the best in this league this season.
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17) You were obviously not at the Burnley home game. They never turned up.
With Collins and Foley on Saturday night back in the posh part of Brum and we are talking a promotion party. We have to win half our games and with the fixtures left it should be on!
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merry xmas all been in oz 7 years now.i’ll see you all sun 3rd of may to see us lift that trophy. COME ON ME BABIES
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Re Reading “on Fire” etc etc.
They’re not the form team We ARE!
Lets not do ourselves down and start looking for demons where they don’t exist. On a different day our result against them could have been very different. WE are the better team at this moment, just look at the league table.
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16. if you picked a team just on scoring records you’d never play your goalkeeper.
Shame you only attended maths, English might have been a help!
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just 1 point to add to the blog is the fact that players are playing in there own positions with 1 exception ward who by the way has been fantastic at left back.and the fact that we have pace nearly everywhere on the pitch a vital thing to have in this league and all the players are playing as a team and not individuals it all bodes well for the second half of the season and with a good dip into the transfer market in jan for 2 or 3 quality players should see us through to the end of the season gl lads and keep it going,WE ARE WOLVES
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(18)…….They had bigger fish to fry 4 days later.
Lets face it, how could anyone get excited about having to play an average provicial club before such a high profile match?
They took the day off.
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Is it just me that wishes “Grumpy Ole Man” and his fellow bores would just go away?
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wolvesfc – I had £100 each way on auto-promtion at 13:1.
Haven’t had a bet since 1976 and bought my FIRSt ST. We have been poor the last few games and still won!
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14 we’ve won every league we’ve played in, 1932 and 1977!
Check your history!
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23, We were by far the bigger game for them, if they have any pretentions of going up this season. The cup game was the meaningless game, sureley.
Yes we are a Provincial club, but we do happen to be top of their league…
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I was also determined Wolves would win the league and placed several bets on us at the start of the season at 14/1! We were so overpriced! I thought Reading would be the team to beat and I wasn’t wrong but we will do enough with the brummies just missing out on automatic promotion to Reading on the last day of the season!
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prawn sandwhich what was wrong with my english apart frm the accidental mistakes icorrected and you should pick strikers on how many they score when did i mention goalkeepers you muppet.
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Some daft comments on here see some of the regular fools have nothing positive to say as normal ie Steve B and superstardjwolves- why do you say you support the club?
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